The Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum says unusually warm Tropical North Atlantic Ocean temperatures and likely La Niña conditions will dominate the weather pattern over the region for the next three months.
In its latest The Caribbean Climate Outlooks publication, CariCOF says the situation will result in episodes of uncomfortable humid heat fading more slowly than in most years, with the odd heatwave still a possibility in November.
CariCOF says increased severe weather activity through December will result in high to extremely high potential for flooding, flash floods, and associated impacts.
CariCOF says, as of October 1, severe or worst short term drought has developed in French Guiana and southern Puerto Rico, in the northern parts of the Dominican Republic, coastal Guyana and eastern Suriname.
Long term drought is evolving in southwest Belize, French Guiana and the US Virgin Islands and might possibly develop in coastal Guyana and Trinidad & Tobago.
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